Development of risk-oriented models and methods for analyzing monitoring data for spatially distributed dynamic processes

What priority area of ​​science and technology does it correspond to: information and communication technologies.

Research: fundamental

Perspective of further implementation: will be continued as applied.

Research level: no analogues in Ukraine.

Patent: no.

What additional actions require further research: Creation of a geoinformation technology for risk-based decision support in geoecotechnosystems in emergency situations in real-time based on the monitoring.

Brief description, advantages, further prospects for application.

A concept has been developed for representing the dynamics of spatially distributed processes in the form of an overlay of blurry static and dynamic topological spaces generated by the indistinguishability relation, each of which allows representing geographical and attributive information about natural conditions, about valuable objects that require protection from destructive processes. also about the dynamics of actions, taking into account the uncertainty of spatial information.

A hazard model has been developed by means of a topological space generated by the indistinguishability relation based on information about natural conditions, taking into account the characteristics of the external environment.

A method for spatially distributed threat assessment has been developed, presented as a dynamic topological space consisting of many zones with fuzzy boundaries, which makes it possible to use this space for spatially distributed risk assessment.

A method has been developed for the qualitative assessment of natural risk, which, unlike existing quantitative methods, makes it possible to overcome the problem of computational complexity associated with conducting many computational experiments, as well as to overcome the problem of comparability of the values ​​of various valuable objects in the context of value categories that cannot be expressed in monetary terms. form.

Taken together, the results obtained in the work open up prospects for creating a scientific and theoretical basis for risk-oriented geoinformation decision support systems in geoecotechnosystems under conditions of spatially distributed hazardous dynamic processes.

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